] The United States is in a war with al Qaeda. The war
] began on Sept. 11, 2001. It will conclude when the
] ability of al Qaeda or related or follow-on forces,
] to attack the United States has been sufficiently
] diminished that the United States has returned to a
] state of relative security -- relative, since absolute
] security does not exist in this world. The Iraq
] campaign is not that war. It is a campaign within that
] war. It follows a previous campaign -- Afghanistan --
] and it will be followed by other campaigns.
Interesting speculation. I don't agree with all of his assumptions, especially involving the intent or relative support of some other countries such as Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, but he does present some interesting thoughts about ways in which the geopolitical landscape will be changing over the next year, along with some of the forces - both predictable and unpredictable -- which may cause those changes.
[IP] Stratfor Weekly: Beyond the Iraq Campaign