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Current Topic: International Relations

Hezbollah's Other War
Topic: International Relations 6:40 am EDT, Aug 10, 2006

As the violence continues, retribution is in the air. Israel has focused its attacks on Shiites, leaving Sunni, Christian and Druse areas (though not their long-term welfare) relatively intact. Amid all the destruction, many a representative of the March 14 movement has denounced Hezbollah’s ‘‘adventurism,’’ provoking Shiite resentment. As one Hezbollah combatant recently told The Guardian: ‘‘The real battle is after the end of this war. We will have to settle score with the Lebanese politicians. We also have the best security and intelligence apparatus in this country, and we can reach any of those people who are speaking against us now. Let’s finish with the Israelis, and then we will settle scores later.’’

This essentially repeated what Hassan Nasrallah told Al Jazeera in an interview broadcast a week after the conflict began: ‘‘If we succeed in achieving the victory . . . we will never forget all those who supported us at this stage. . . . As for those who sinned against us . . . those who made mistakes, those who let us down and those who conspired against us . . . this will be left for a day to settle accounts. We might be tolerant with them, and we might not.’’

Hezbollah's Other War


Indonesia bows to rule of the rod
Topic: International Relations 6:40 am EDT, Aug 10, 2006

ACROSS Indonesia's most religious of provinces, the sight of brown uniformed policemen has come to signify one thing. The brutal enforcement of Sharia law which is raising fears about the future of the world's most populous Muslim country.

They haul unmarried couples into precincts and arrest people for drinking or gambling. Increasingly, many of the cases are pushed to the ultimate conclusion, public canings at mosques in front of excited crowds.

In mid-July, a 27-year-old man sentenced to 40 lashes fainted on the seventh stroke of a rattan cane from a hooded man in the yard of a mosque here in the provincial capital.

The caning was televised nationally, with a presenter saying that the man, who had been arrested for drinking at a beachside stall, would receive the remainder of his punishment once he had recovered.

Battered by the Asian tsunami 19 months ago, Aceh is undergoing a profound transformation that is likely to have considerable impact on the nature of Islam in Indonesia.

Indonesia bows to rule of the rod


North Korea's Missile Tests | PINR - Intelligence Brief
Topic: International Relations 11:26 pm EDT, Jul  6, 2006

North Korea's decision on Wednesday morning to test six to ten missiles demonstrates Pyongyang's assessment that the United States will not react decisively to its new show of force. Instead, Pyongyang sees these latest missile tests as an opportunity to demonstrate its perceived threat potential, which it presumes can be used at a later date to extract concessions from the United States and its allies.

North Korea's Missile Tests | PINR - Intelligence Brief


Somalia's Fluid Politics Move Toward Polarization | PINR
Topic: International Relations 11:26 pm EDT, Jul  6, 2006

The T.F.G., the A.U., the A.L., I.G.A.D. and the U.N. are powerless to avert a confrontation. Discredited by its former support of the warlords, Washington has failed to provide leadership, allowing divisions within the T.F.G. and the regional organizations to neutralize their effectiveness. Increasingly dependent on Ethiopia, the T.F.G. will find it difficult to make the concessions necessary to satisfy the I.C.C. The rivalry between Ethiopia and Eritrea, and the tentativeness of Kenya and Uganda, eviscerate the A.U. and I.G.A.D. The A.L.-sponsored peace process is the only game in town, but the increasing polarization on the ground renders its success problematic.

The drift toward polarization is likely to continue until violent conflict erupts, one of the current key players retreats, or a player emerges from the sidelines with a fresh initiative. Given the prevalence of mutual uncertainties and suspicions, recent events in Somalia point toward further destabilization.

Somalia's Fluid Politics Move Toward Polarization | PINR


Jihad 2.0 | The Atlantic
Topic: International Relations 11:26 pm EDT, Jul  6, 2006

With the loss of training camps in Afghanistan, terrorists have turned to the Internet to find and train recruits. The story of one pioneer of this effort—the enigmatic “Irhabi 007” -- shows how

Pick up the magazine at your local news stand to read the full text.

Jihad 2.0 | The Atlantic


Afghanistan: On the Brink
Topic: International Relations 3:16 pm EDT, Jun  3, 2006

In December 2005 I spent several hours a day in the lobby of the Intercontinental Hotel in Kabul interviewing some of the people who passed by.

Afghanistan: On the Brink


The Truman Standard - Council on Foreign Relations
Topic: International Relations 3:15 pm EDT, Jun  3, 2006

What, then, is the Truman Standard, and how does the Bush Administration really measure up to it?

The Truman Standard - Council on Foreign Relations


The vagaries of the precautionary principle
Topic: International Relations 4:31 pm EDT, May 29, 2006

Oh, Canada!

But if you accept precaution when it comes to one area, shouldn't you apply that same caution to all areas equally? One would think.

But earlier this year, the Canadian-beef-banning French government backed down from a proposed smoking ban. Parisians can still smoke until they're blue in the face on Rue Saint Germain.

If the precautionary principle is designed to demonstrate the limits of science, it must surely also be an effective tool to illustrate our priorities and our national character. We can't call ourselves particularly cautious, but we sure can call ourselves puritanical.

I imagine The Book will include a chapter on genetically modified foods, either chronicling Europe's unsubstantiated paranoia or America's unforgivable naivety. But it probably won't have much to say about Ontario's propensity to poke at Quebec by way of Paris.

The vagaries of the precautionary principle


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