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Will Ma Bell Be Taken Over by Offspring?

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Will Ma Bell Be Taken Over by Offspring?
Topic: Economics 6:02 am EST, Apr  4, 2002

Will AT&T stand alone as a telecommunications company? Many industry executives say they believe that by the middle of next year, a big local phone company like SBC or BellSouth will try to acquire what remains of AT&T.

If AT&T's stock price remains [low], such a deal appears almost inevitable.

If the AT&T-Comcast deal has, say, an 85% chance of going through, what message is the investment community sending about the rest of AT&T?

It appears that investors are valuing the rest of AT&T at just $4.78 a share, or $16.94 billion in all.

The implied value of AT&T's core units - (wireline voice and commercial datacom) - is $14B-$22B ... a remarkable figure for assets generating $37B in revenue and $10B in EBITDA this year. ... a strong case can be made that these valuations ... are quite low. Obviously, investors are choosing to disagree with the analysts.

[We must wait on the 1Q02 financial report.] AT&T's FY01 10-K will be out today.

By the way, it would surprise almost no one in the telecommunications industry if AT&T Wireless ended up being acquired as well.

Will Ma Bell Be Taken Over by Offspring?



 
 
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