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Current Topic: Economics

AT&T Launches China Telecom Venture
Topic: Economics 1:05 pm EST, Mar 22, 2002

"Telecom titan AT&T Corp launched China's first foreign telecom venture on Friday and gained a window into broadband Internet services in the country, a nascent market that will take time to gather steam."

When the going gets tough, get going! It seems that, in the absence of growth (and presence of actual decline) in domestic telecoms demand, AT&T will move to build a network in China. This seems foolish, given all of the debt, operational, and other problems that BellSouth's Latin American ventures have brought them.

Perhaps they're just looking to get lots of cash from the Chinese government, in order to pay off bondholders in the US, until they can divest themselves of the US wireline voice infrastructure and figure out how to turn a profit in wireless and data. ... Um, that could take a while.

AT&T Launches China Telecom Venture


France Télécom Reports $7.3 Billion Loss
Topic: Economics 12:58 pm EST, Mar 22, 2002

France Télécom reported a loss of $7.3 billion for 2001 today in a stark admission that it had overpaid for a pan-European expansion in the giddy years of the telecommunications boom. ...

[FT] spent tens of billions of dollars in the last two years on acquisitions and on wireless licenses ... quadrupling the company's debt in the process. Since those deals, however, the share prices of telecommunications companies have slid sharply. ... [An anaylst said,] "I'm not bullish on the stock. We still need more details."

France Télécom Reports $7.3 Billion Loss


France Telecom seeks £5bn more from asset sales
Topic: Economics 12:54 pm EST, Mar 22, 2002

France Télécom yesterday added another €8 billion (£5 billion) of assets to its wish list of disposals in an attempt to shake its ignominious reputation as one of the world’s most indebted companies.

... Unveiling the second biggest loss in French corporate history, Michel Bon, the chairman, said the sales would help the company to cut its debt from €60.7 billion to as low as €45 billion by the end of 2003.

In Europe, only Deutsche Telekom has more debt, with €62.1 billion weighing on its balance sheet. BT, the first big incumbent carrier in Europe to tackle its debt burden, is in the comparatively healthy position of owing just £14.5 billion.

France Telecom seeks £5bn more from asset sales


Marconi shares slump 50%
Topic: Economics 12:52 pm EST, Mar 22, 2002

Marconi, the struggling telecoms company, saw its share price fall by 50 per cent today after warning market conditions had worsened and it had failed to secure a crucial bank deal.

The former stock market star, which has axed thousands of jobs and seen its share price collapse to 8.9p over the last year, said market conditions had continued to deteriorate. ... Chavan Bhogaita, of Bear Stearns, said: "The failure to secure the (bank) facility at this stage has made the situation more urgent and the company must do something very, very soon to prevent a complete collapse in its share price." ... "We will be seeking a meeting ... in order to formulate a rescue package should it be required in order to avoid the collapse of the company."

Marconi shares slump 50%


Is There Life After AT&T Broadband?
Topic: Economics 8:50 am EST, Mar 19, 2002

'END OF T' stories seem to be popping up. The premise is simple; when the fast-growing wireless and huge potential broadband business are taken out of the picture, all that is left is the shrinking long distance business. Will the rest of AT&T's business be acquired in part or in whole? Will it simply fade away? Or will it somehow make a successful business out of the parts that are left?

I think the premise of this question is wrong.

Some commentary from columnist / telecom analyst Jeff Kagan, published in December 2001, before the Global Crossing bankruptcy came to light. His analysis here is missing a number of critical facts, including the RBOCs' tens of billions of dollars in outstanding bonds that will come due in the next year or so. With the market as it is, and scrutiny high in the post-Enron/post-Andersen era, it could become very difficult for them to pay off their maturing debts and sell new bonds. What then?

Is There Life After AT&T Broadband?


Chase's Early Dalliances With Global Crossing
Topic: Economics 7:58 am EST, Mar 19, 2002

From the beginning it was a seductive relationship, with mutual needs and desires overwhelming the warnings to proceed cautiously. Now one of the parties, Global Crossing, is said to owe about $95 million to the other, J. P. Morgan Chase, which has little chance of recovering more than pennies on the dollar. ... "[Global Crossing's founder] kept talking about future cash flows. His projections were based on selling off capacity on the fiber optic networks. I felt those were really one-time asset sales, rather than predictable cash flow from operations, and I didn't like the level of risk. I projected that there would be too much capacity because other people were then talking about building fiber optic undersea cables. Any increase in capacity would push prices down. ... Everyone basically got greedy that the good times would go on forever. People did a lot of things that in hindsight did not make sense. The truth is, they did not make sense when they were doing them."

Chase's Early Dalliances With Global Crossing


Tracking the Trouble Caused by WorldCom's Bernie Ebbers
Topic: Economics 6:08 pm EST, Mar 18, 2002

"Seems like every day lately, Washington investors find a new reason to wish they'd never heard of Bernie Ebbers.

Bernard J. Ebbers, chairman of WorldCom Inc., has managed to turn two of the most innovative technology companies in Washington history into two of the worst investments in the region."

... While part of the reason that WorldCom and MCI stocks are down is that the telecommunications industry is in the tank, at least as much of the blame belongs to Ebbers. ...

The article goes on to explain why Ebbers' idea to set up tracking stocks for various parts of the company was a terrible idea. Note that this is exactly what Michael Armstrong did at AT&T, which ultimately forced them to sell the BroadBand division.

Tracking the Trouble Caused by WorldCom's Bernie Ebbers


Telecom Job Cuts Up, Worst Yet To Come
Topic: Economics 6:04 pm EST, Mar 18, 2002

The number of job cuts in the battered telecommunications industry this year is 42 percent greater than during the first two months of 2001, but things are likely to get worse before they get better, an employment firm said today.

... [B]ased on warnings by industry giants like Lucent and Nokia, the telecommunications employment picture will become even gloomier as the year progresses.

"Overcapacity, a glut of competitors and a lack of capital spending by companies on new networking and telecommunications equipment are making it difficult for even the strongest companies to avoid the turmoil," firm CEO John A. Challenger said in a news release.

Telecom Job Cuts Up, Worst Yet To Come


Qwest Gets New Breathing Room on Credit Pact
Topic: Economics 5:59 pm EST, Mar 18, 2002

Voice and data services company Qwest Communications International Inc., scrambling to relieve a cash crunch, on Monday said it had amended its $4 billion bank credit agreement to allow it to carry a higher percentage of debt on its books.

... "It's a first step. It does help out that their lenders are willing to provide more room on the loan covenants, but the bankers are requiring that asset sales be used to pay down debt. So it doesn't appear that the bankers are providing a lot of leeway to Qwest." ...

Qwest and other high-speed communications companies have been battered by a glut of network capacity, scant demand in the weak economy, falling prices, and stiff competition.

Rivals Global Crossing Ltd. and McLeodUSA recently filed for bankruptcy, while Metromedia Fiber Network Inc. on Monday warned that it may file for bankruptcy if it is unable to restructure its debts.

Qwest Gets New Breathing Room on Credit Pact


Metromedia Fiber Warns of Possible Bankruptcy
Topic: Economics 5:58 pm EST, Mar 18, 2002

Metromedia Fiber Network, which builds high-speed fiber-optic communications networks in cities, on Monday scrapped its financial guidance through the end of 2002 and warned it may have to file for bankruptcy if it cannot restructure its debts.

"The amazing thing is there's just no cash in the company. They basically went from 'Everything's seems to be OK,' to 'We're dead,' and that was during a recovery in the market," Kaufman Bros. analyst Vik Grover said. "For common shareholders, I think it's over. This is a death blow."

Metromedia Fiber Warns of Possible Bankruptcy


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