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"I don't think the report is true, but these crises work for those who want to make fights between people." Kulam Dastagir, 28, a bird seller in Afghanistan

Why Hong Kong is taking on China | Data Dive
Topic: Miscellaneous 1:32 pm EDT, Sep 30, 2014

Reuters graphic looks at how public opinion has changed since the handover. Polls conducted by the University of Hong Kong show ebbing confidence in China’s “one country, two systems” philosophy and Hong Kong’s future in general, and more than 50 percent of respondents are either “quite distrustful” or “very distrustful” of the Beijing central government.

Why Hong Kong is taking on China | Data Dive


Julian Sanchez on encryption, law enforcement, and the balance of power - The Washington Post
Topic: Miscellaneous 2:54 pm EDT, Sep 29, 2014

Over at Cato at Liberty, Julian Sanchez has an excellent post criticizing and responding to my three posts on encryption and the new Apple iOS8 operating system. The whole thing is worth reading.

Julian Sanchez on encryption, law enforcement, and the balance of power - The Washington Post


Hong Kong People! - NYTimes.com
Topic: Miscellaneous 1:35 pm EDT, Sep 29, 2014

This past Sunday — was the moment when the “one country, two systems” formula Hong Kong was promised on its return to Chinese sovereignty in 1997 was finally laid bare as unworkable.

This oped is interesting for some of the bright lines it seems to draw, although it seems to contradict itself in calling for foreign states to express solidarity with the protestors while also attacking China's assertion that foreign states are trying to manipulate the process behind the scenes. If the US spoke in favor of the democracy movement would China then use these statements against the protestors?

The problem with democracy is that its necessary but not sufficient for a free society. Democracy in some places in the middle east means totalitarian rule by religious extremists. What we need is liberal democracy - a democracy that is coupled with a respect for the individual rights of individual people.

Why isn't the US an outspoken advocate of that - everywhere?

Hong Kong is a country that respects individual rights, and with that ingredient, democracy can succeed there in a meaningful way.

Hong Kong People! - NYTimes.com


RE: orders of magnitude
Topic: Miscellaneous 10:56 am EDT, Sep 22, 2014

Maciej Ceglowski:

Surveillance as a business model is the only thing that makes a site like Facebook possible.

This idea has gotten a lot of currency recently. I think its embraced by both extremes of the "big data" debate - the privacy advocates as well as the spies. Anne Neuberger's "Withering Nation" scenario supposes that "privacy obsession hampers commercial activity" - they literally think that if the privacy advocates win, it will lead to national decline!

I'm wondering what your view of these ideas is, but I think its hyperbole. As DuckDuckGo has demonstrated, I know enough based on the search term you entered to show you a relevant ad. The value add associated with surveillance may literally not be worth the privacy impact. I have the same question about Facebook - do they really need to monitor what I'm posting to Facebook, or can they make enough money through traditional Internet advertising (which is also admittedly invasive, but not to the same extent.)?

The question of economically maximal privacy invasion will be an ongoing dialog for some time I think. I have a hard time buying the idea that nothing that is going on is sustainable unless the privacy incursions remain as intrusive as they currently are, nor do I believe that a more privacy respectful internet will lead to the decline of the United States. I believe that these perspectives overvalue surveillance and undervalue privacy, because the economic benefits are privacy do not directly accrue to certain people. They are, nonetheless, real.

Am I wrong?

RE: orders of magnitude


Lawfare › Breaking News: Government Agency Bulk Collecting Twitter Data
Topic: Miscellaneous 3:25 pm EDT, Sep 19, 2014

Benjamin Wittes wrote:

If you were shocked when you read the first paragraph of this post and relieved when you read that the agency doing all this collection is not NSA but the good guys over at the Library of Congress, and that the good guys are actually planning to make that data available widely, why did you have those reactions? And do those reactions make sense?

You asked, so I'll answer. I didn't have those reactions, and there are a couple of important observations to make about why.

First, I am cognizant of the public nature of public social media. I choose what to post on twitter and what not to post on twitter. I know that what I post to twitter can be read by anyone and that is my intent. What I post on Facebook is slightly more private than what I post on Twitter, and I am cognizant of that distinction. What I type into a search engine is much more private and may be more personal.

Advocates of mass surveillance often pretend that these distinctions are irrelevant. Because I post things about my personal life on Twitter and Facebook, they argue that it is therefore irrational for me to be concerned about surveillance of my search queries or call records. This is a weak attempt to rationalize away legitimate privacy interests.

Second, the idea of the NSA monitoring twitter may raise a concern that the agency is targeting people for investigation on the basis of their speech, which can deter people from expressing disfavored opinions. However, this concerned isn't raised simply because the NSA collects the data. The NSA would be remiss if it ignored the public postings of various terrorist organizations and their compatriots. I think the real question is what kinds of statements by someone can create a reasonable basis for a deeper investigation which opens private things.

Third, I don't think that the LOC should archive deleted tweets. Doing so undermines the decision by the poster to remove that content, and content gets removed for a lot of very good reasons, particularly in a medium where it is easy to write brief things that may be misconstrued when viewed from another perspective. However, it wouldn't bother me if the NSA monitored deleted tweets. Its not a privacy issue, its a matter of respecting people's ability to withdraw misstatements.

Lawfare › Breaking News: Government Agency Bulk Collecting Twitter Data


Scotland’s Independence Vote Shows a Global Crisis of the Elites - NYTimes.com
Topic: Miscellaneous 11:35 am EDT, Sep 18, 2014

It is a crisis of the elites. Scotland’s push for independence is driven by a conviction — one not ungrounded in reality — that the British ruling class has blundered through the last couple of decades. The same discontent applies to varying degrees in the United States and, especially, the eurozone. It is, in many ways, a defining feature of our time.

The rise of Catalan would-be secessionists in Spain, the rise of parties of the far right in European countries as diverse as Greece and Sweden, and the Tea Party in the United States are all rooted in a sense that, having been granted vast control over the levers of power, the political elite across the advanced world have made a mess of things.

Scotland’s Independence Vote Shows a Global Crisis of the Elites - NYTimes.com


Scotland as Quebec: The lessons Britain can learn - The Globe and Mail
Topic: Miscellaneous 6:36 pm EDT, Sep 17, 2014

A sense of entitlement sits more naturally beside a sense of grievance than most people realize

Scotland as Quebec: The lessons Britain can learn - The Globe and Mail


The Origins and Implications of the Scottish Referendum | Stratfor
Topic: Miscellaneous 6:01 pm EDT, Sep 17, 2014

Any theory of human behavior that assumes that the singular purpose of humans is to maximize economic benefits is wrong. Humans have other motivations that are incomprehensible to the economic model but can be empirically demonstrated to be powerful.

The Origins and Implications of the Scottish Referendum | Stratfor


My problem with "Net Neutrality."
Topic: Miscellaneous 5:20 pm EDT, Sep 10, 2014

In the beginning there were bulletin board systems. Many thousands of small bulletin board systems, most of which were run by individuals out of their homes, and could only support one user at a time. There were also larger bulletin board systems. Some could support hundreds of simultaneous users and were sustainable businesses - people paid subscription fees to access them. There were also large commercial online services that could support millions of subscribers.

Thats what a healthy competitive ecosystem looks like - lots of players of different sizes, doing their own thing. An open door for innovation, even by hobbyists. You didn't even have to know how to develop software in order to run one of these communities, because lots of people ran them, and software to do so was readily available.

Part of the reason that it worked, is that we all had the same kind of network connectivity. The quantum unit was a single phone line. Anyone could do, in their homes, everything that the big guys were doing. The big guys had more lines, but they were the same kind of lines.

That changed in the late 1990's. We replaced phone lines and ISDN circuits with ADSL circuits and Cable Modems. These circuits were asymmetrical - they couldn't send as much data as they could receive. As a consequence, it wasn't possible for someone to do, in their home, what commercial services were doing in commercial data centers, and if you wanted to put your own computer in a commercial data center, that was potentially very expensive.

As a result, the ecosystem changed. Individuals were much less likely to run online communities. Interaction on the Internet became consolidated in centralized services like Facebook and Youtube. Because building your own small community was expensive, a market didn't develop to support that activity. No one makes good software for people to run their own social network out of their homes.

Now we have a debate going on about "Net Neutrality." The idea is that Internet ought to be a level playing field for innovation. In order to create that level playing field, we're all supposed to get the same kind of pipe. If you remember the ecosystem that we had in the early 1990's, this idea sounds like it might be attractive. If we all have the same raw materials, we can compete more readily with each other. There is a whole lot of money that is being invested in Net Neutrality activism and there are a whole lot of people who support the idea.

However, when you dig a little deeper, it becomes apparent that the activists aren't really arguing in favor of net neutrality for you and me. They don't care if individual Internet users are able to host services easily and inexpensively. They don't care about ending port filtering of consumer Internet connections or enabling consumers to get access to symmetric pipes. They want a level playing field between all the big players who are donating money to them - the Googles,... [ Read More (0.3k in body) ]


Can the government monitor the content of everyone's email without a warrant? The answer might surprise you.
Topic: Miscellaneous 10:07 am EDT, Sep  8, 2014

Yesterday Paul Rosenzweig pointed out an interesting law review article regarding the Fourth Amendment in the context of a nuclear terrorism scenario. The Fourth Amendment protects us against "unreasonable" searches and courts have ruled that the police do not have to establish probable cause or get a warrant in order to perform a search if that search occurs in a narrow set of circumstances that are thought to be "presumptively reasonable." In fact, in most national security contexts, warrantless searches are thought by the courts to be presumptively reasonable as far as the Fourth Amendment is concerned, and its not much of a stretch to imagine that they'd be allowed in a "Jack Bauer" scenario where the hunt is on for a nuclear terrorist.

What struck me as troubling about this article wasn't its main argument, but rather, a footnote. The article concludes that in a scenario where there is a high probability of a serious attack, the Fourth Amendment might allow for searches without probable cause. However, it struggles with how to handle the scenario where there is a risk of a serious attack, but there is a low probability of the attack actually happening. At this point the author does something interesting - he looks forward to a future in which technology will solve this problem, by liberating law enforcement from the Fourth Amendment's restrictions on mass surveillance. He writes:

"The most difficult question to resolve is the one where there is a low probability of a high consequence attack. One day, technology may provide a solution. 278"

Footnote 278 continues:

"278 To the extent that voice-to-text transcription technology for wire communications evolves in the future to a point at which automated processes can accurately screen the content of the communications, the use of such technology, coupled with minimization on the front-end, would prevent any “human observation” of the content of the communications. Compare Google, “How Gmail Ads Work,” available at https://support.google.com/mail/answer/6603?hl=en (“Ad targeting in Gmail is fully automated, and no humans read your email or Google Account information in order to show you advertisements or related information.”) with Orin Kerr, Searches and Seizures in a Digital World, 119 HARV. L. REV. 531, 535 (2005) (a Fourth Amendment search is best described as the process by which “data is exposed to human observation”).

What the author is saying here is that if the government uses a computer to search the content of your phone calls, or your emails, or anything else, for that matter, that isn't technically a "search" as far as the Fourth Amendment is concerned. Therefore, they don't need a warrant. They don't need probable cause. They can just do it. And this argu... [ Read More (0.4k in body) ]


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